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Calculating Pot Odds

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Pot odds is a very simple tool in playing poker and yet one of the fundamentals of the game. Basically it’s a way for you to compare your outs to the odds of making your hand to determine if you should call the bet in front of you. If your pot odds are greater than the odds at completing the bet then you should call. If the opposite holds true than it means you should be folding. Most understand what the concept means but have very little idea how to calculate pot odds.

Calculating pot odds can seem confusing but it really doesn’t have to be. To do this we’ll use an example. You are playing a $2/$4 Holdem game with Q9 against two players. The flop brings you a straight draw showing T-J-6 and your opponent bets $20 into a pot of $40. The other player calls and now it is your turn to decide. The pot now stands at $80 and it will cost you $20 to play for a chance at the $80 pot. 20/80 would give you 4:1 odds meaning you would win 4 x more than what you will be putting in. Sounds great doesn’t it. It would be if that was the only basis for making the call. We now need to consider our odds of completing our hand.

We know that our hand needs any 8 or any K to complete our straight which means we have a total of 8 outs. There are 52 cards in the deck and so far we have seen 5 of them, the two in our hand and the 3 on board. We also know that the deck only contains 43 cards left after subtracting our hand, our opponent’s cards and the community cards. This leaves us with a ratio of 8/43 (our 8 outs against 43 cards in the deck). This would calculate to 5:1 odds of completing our hand meaning for every five times we play it we will win at least once. Since our odds to complete our hand (5:1) are higher than the actual pot odds (4:1) you should be folding since you will ultimately lose more money in the long run by calling this hand.

Now say we flip this a bit and change the bets. Your opponent instead bets $10 into a $40 pot with a call from the other player resulting in a total pot equalling $60. Your odds of completing your hand have not changed, still giving you 5:1 odds. What has changed is the pot ratio, which now stands at $10/$60 meaning you will need to risk $10 to win $60 giving you 6:1 odds. This would make a great call since you will win more money based on your card outs and pot outs.

 
 
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